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美國企業獲利還未觸頂

Oct 10th 2013, 07:23

中國信託投信指出，美國政府關門，雖然讓市場日益憂心，但以過去經驗來看，通常不會對金融市場產生重大影響，且期間不會太長。

統計自1976年以來，美國政府共17次關門，從關門結束後起算的一個月、三個月，美股平均漲幅分別達0.8%與2.6%。

中國信託投信指出，觀察美股與ISM新訂單走勢方向一致，代表在整個景氣擴張未見轉向前，股市可望持續上攻。美股通常在企業獲利見高點後12至18個月才見頂，目前美國企業獲利還未觸頂，研判後勢仍有高點可期。

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